Seems like several of us are on the same wavelength: I expect mostly 2's & 3's now, and take 4's as disappointments. Even though I seldom drive over 300', I expect to get up & down on relatively open holes out to 450' because that's now just an average drive, approach and putt.
I wish those were in deuce range, but at almost 52 years of age, I've got to be realistic about my max D.
Like y'all, I need to build confidence outside of a 20' putt. I watch a few dedicated players warming up and draining everything 40' and in, & know that it's attainable.