I expect to shoot under par at whatever course I go to play. Whether I've played it before or not. Now, once I've played it, I have a basis for what I should score there. Anything 400' and in should at most be a three. longer than that is when I get iffy. I'm really confident in my putting, if I'm within 35' I expect to make the putt. Outside of there I accept misses.
The only things staying in my bag for sure are Firebirds, KC Aviars, and Condors.