Only 200' to the pin, but you'll have to carry water pretty much the whole distance. Assuming RHBH, stick with something stable and let it fade back from over the lake. If you want to play it safe, just stay left the whole way.
The water carry is always a gut check, and can influence disc selection, but keep in mind that, once you judge the wind, anything you throw that's long enough and fading left is generally safe. RHBH: fade or hyzer right at it and essentially take the water out of play.