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Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-18-2020, 01:24 PM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
Adam, you seem to have misunderstood also, we're...

Adam, you seem to have misunderstood also, we're talking about the same round, one round.
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-18-2020, 05:36 AM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
Earlier Chuck it seemed like you were considering...

Earlier Chuck it seemed like you were considering two separate rounds. I think the example you were referring to was considering one long round including low and high rated players where high rated...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-16-2020, 10:48 AM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
I agree that there would be a step change caused...

I agree that there would be a step change caused by removing low rated rounds. Chuck assures us that shift is small, but to be inflationary suggests a constant increase. It's possible that the effect...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-16-2020, 05:16 AM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
One potential test for that would be to look at...

One potential test for that would be to look at the number of excluded rounds over time for some tranche of players. If that increase over time it suggests that their rating is staying falsely...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-15-2020, 05:15 AM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
Just to be clear I didn't say 1000 rated and 800...

Just to be clear I didn't say 1000 rated and 800 rated players average the same score on a hole, but assumed a hole where 1000 rated players have a probability of 20% to play poorly and score only a...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-14-2020, 05:33 AM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
This doesn't constrain the expansion of the...

This doesn't constrain the expansion of the rating range to only the lower ratings, having no limit to an upper score can translate into higher top ratings if some good players score higher while the...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-14-2020, 05:19 AM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
Then the problem is we don't know who is leading...

Then the problem is we don't know who is leading during a tournament, scores can only be calculated at the end of a round. This would remove the spectator excitement. We couldn't have a fixed scoring...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-13-2020, 02:56 AM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
My point earlier was that theres no reason to...

My point earlier was that theres no reason to believe that any given creep will be up rather than down. By rating in silos the rating creep occurs by the average change in level of play of the wider...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-11-2020, 04:58 PM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
It just doesn't follow that the ratings would...

It just doesn't follow that the ratings would necessarily inflate, they might but I don't see any guaranteed mechanism by which it would. Identical scores yielding different round ratings doesn't...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-11-2020, 02:48 PM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
Just for fun I figured we could consider a set of...

Just for fun I figured we could consider a set of Bernoulli trials.
Assume:
All holes played by each player are independent (a big assumption)
Each player's score is independent of all others...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-11-2020, 02:23 PM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
The evidence that with enough money + cajoling +...

The evidence that with enough money + cajoling + threatening (I assure you that I don't have the power, wealth or desire to make this happen) I could convince twenty people (10 of them rated 800 and...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-11-2020, 01:42 PM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
Sorry to be a pedant but the statistics suggest...

Sorry to be a pedant but the statistics suggest it is possible, it's just incredibly unlikely, perhaps a 1 in 10 trillion+ tournament event. Therefore, in a practical sense impossible but "by the...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-10-2020, 09:34 AM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
So your definition of a top player is one that...

So your definition of a top player is one that wins a lot but not with any reference to who they beat.

I think of a top player as someone who demonstrates a high skill level. The player ratings do...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 09-02-2020, 10:57 AM
Replies: 241
Views: 13,958
Posted By Jugular
"What have you done for me lately?!"

"What have you done for me lately?!"
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