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Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-12-2018, 08:54 AM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
I'm OK with that. Disc golf is more interesting...

I'm OK with that. Disc golf is more interesting when there isn't a clear-cut best way to play the hole. Even if we got 100 players out there to test-play it three ways, any of the three might come...
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-11-2018, 10:22 PM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
I agree the lay-up area has all those advantages....

I agree the lay-up area has all those advantages. Even so, the chance of going OB, times the double penalty from going OB, just about exactly offsets those advantages.

Landing on the island has...
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-10-2018, 03:43 PM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
Actually, the lay-up (to the in-bounds area in...

Actually, the lay-up (to the in-bounds area in front of the tee) would not be worth the risk (unless the player can't throw far enough to make the island), whether the risk is one, two, or three...
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-10-2018, 03:34 PM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
I agree with all that. I just think that when...

I agree with all that. I just think that when every extra throw can cost hundreds of dollars, the risk of re-teeing (and maybe re-teeing again and again) is already great enough to kick in both of...
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-10-2018, 10:29 AM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
Really? If hole 17 were just re-throw without...

Really? If hole 17 were just re-throw without penalty, would anyone actually play differently if the risk was re-throwing two from the tee than re-throwing three from the tee?

If so, would making...
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-10-2018, 08:49 AM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
That's true, but penalties don't make it harder. ...

That's true, but penalties don't make it harder. Penalties just make scores bigger. You have to make the exact same throws to complete the hole whether there are penalties or not.

Required...
Forum: Rules Questions & Discussion 10-09-2018, 02:15 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 2,454
Posted By Steve West
Or an ambulance. After the hottest rounds of Am...

Or an ambulance. After the hottest rounds of Am Worlds last year, some of the Grandmasters couldn't concentrate well enough to add.

It is reason to be concerned.
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-09-2018, 11:16 AM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
You want to compile the data? I have no access...

You want to compile the data? I have no access to data about sponsors. We'll need the sponsors of all the players (at the time of the tournament), not just the winners.

Even then, there would...
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-08-2018, 01:25 PM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
Performance Tracks ...

Performance Tracks

https://www.dgcoursereview.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=66143&stc=1&d=1539019382

Am I the only who is thinking of the game "Chutes and Ladders"?
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 10-08-2018, 11:41 AM
Replies: 3,327
Poll: Par Talk
Views: 375,821
Posted By Steve West
Final Stats for all hole locations. I bet most...

Final Stats for all hole locations. I bet most people would not think if this as a fairly birdie-heavy course, but it is.
...
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-06-2018, 10:13 AM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
I calculate the best chances for eagle for a 1026...

I calculate the best chances for eagle for a 1026 rated player are holes #10 (13%) and #2 (2.4%). Anything else is less than one chance in a thousand, with the best chances being to ace #17,...
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-05-2018, 07:40 PM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
It's wide open now. ...

It's wide open now.

https://www.dgcoursereview.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=66116&stc=1&d=1538782810
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-05-2018, 02:12 PM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
Yeah, but with his lead he has to muck up three...

Yeah, but with his lead he has to muck up three times for everyone else's once.

I used actual scoring distributions, with all the high scores in there, so it takes into account those "double...
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-05-2018, 10:20 AM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
It ain't over 'til it's over. I ran a simulation...

It ain't over 'til it's over. I ran a simulation with the actual scores and scoring distributions by rating so far, and it's not certain that Paul will win.
...
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-04-2018, 08:43 PM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
Performance Tracks through 2 rounds. ...

Performance Tracks through 2 rounds.

https://www.dgcoursereview.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=66103&stc=1&d=1538700128
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-04-2018, 07:30 PM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
When it becomes so easy to get birdie that it...

When it becomes so easy to get birdie that it becomes expected, then that score should be par. When 57% of a group of players that average about 1000 get three or better, then three is the expected...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 10-04-2018, 09:37 AM
Replies: 948
Views: 311,445
Posted By Steve West
Is it "in"?

Is it "in"?
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-04-2018, 09:27 AM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
Put another way, hole #10 is the only hole where...

Put another way, hole #10 is the only hole where par was set too high.

So, almost "just all good". This is what it looks like when the TD actually makes the effort to set par as it is defined:...
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-03-2018, 06:47 PM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
Player performance tracks. ...

Player performance tracks.

https://www.dgcoursereview.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=66092&stc=1&d=1538606675
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-03-2018, 06:28 PM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
Hole performances, based on Round 1 scores. Up...

Hole performances, based on Round 1 scores. Up and Right is "good". A bigger bubble just means a higher average score.
...
Forum: General Disc Golf Chat 10-03-2018, 06:11 PM
Replies: 3,327
Poll: Par Talk
Views: 375,821
Posted By Steve West
2018 United States Disc Golf Championship, first...

2018 United States Disc Golf Championship, first round data only.


https://www.dgcoursereview.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=66090&stc=1&d=1538604387

Looks like Hole #10 might not have...
Forum: Rules Questions & Discussion 10-02-2018, 10:21 PM
Replies: 50
Views: 1,967
Posted By Steve West
I had to look that one up. It says "player" not...

I had to look that one up. It says "player" not "member". So, yes, whether current or not.
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-02-2018, 06:56 PM
Replies: 71
Views: 3,349
Posted By Steve West
USWADGC?

USWADGC?
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-02-2018, 04:41 PM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
In that situation, I think it would be Clooney's...

In that situation, I think it would be Clooney's character falling over.
Forum: Tournaments & Leagues 10-02-2018, 10:24 AM
Replies: 642
Views: 41,673
Posted By Steve West
Using this year's field and last year's scoring...

Using this year's field and last year's scoring distributions, I ran a simulation. There's about a 50/50 chance the winning margin will be 2 or less.
...
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