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2016 Prediction Contest - Ledgestone

discallday

Birdie Member
Joined
Oct 31, 2008
Messages
268
A tournament sponsored by an insurance company should offer some kind of insurance, right? So, you have the option to sacrifice some points up-front, to increase the likelihood that you get a decent score. Or, you can choose to go uninsured (risk falling like a stone from a ledge?) for the chance of maximizing your score.

This insurance comes in the form of delaying your prediction. If you choose to pick before the…
1) first round starts, you can earn up to 100% of the potential points.
2) second round starts, you can earn up to 80% of the potential points.
3) third round starts, you can earn up to 60% of the potential points.
4) fourth round starts, you can earn up to 40% of the potential points.
5) fifth round starts...actually never mind. This is a PREDICTION contest, after all. ;)

First round starts on Thursday, August 18th. "100 percenters," get your picks in before then.

For clarity, please state what option you are picking. Of course, we'll all be able to tell when predictions are made, but this should ensure we're on the same page. Please don't (for example) say you're picking the 100% option, and post after 8 AM CST on the 18th. If you've missed your preferred window, just pick the next available slot/insurance option.

MPO - Pick 4 players, with your predicted winner listed first (2 points for correct winner)
1st place - 6 points
2nd place - 5 points
3rd place - 4 points
4th place - 3 points
5th place - 0 points

FPO - Pick 2 players, with your predicted winner listed first (1 point for correct winner)
1st place - 5 points
2nd place - 4 points
3rd place - 0 points

Bonus 1 - Predict the manufacturer with the most players finishing in the top 10 of MPO. The categories are: 1) Innova/Discmania; 2) Lat64/DD/Westside; 3) Other (Prodigy, Discraft, Legacy, DGA, unsponsored, etc.). 3 points
Bonus 2 - Who will shoot the highest rated round of the tournament? The choices are McBeth, Wysocki, or anybody else. 1 point for correctly guessing McBeth/Wysocki. 2 points for correctly naming an individual other than McBeth/Wysocki if they do achieve the highest rated round (though if you don't get the individual right, you can still get 1 point this way).
Bonus 3 - ...What course will see the highest rated round? (2 points)
Bonus 4 - How many aces will there be? (1 point) How many will be captured on film? (1 point)
Bonus 5 - Which MPO sub-1000 player will have the best tournament (1 point)? What place will the best MPO sub-1000 player finish (1 point)

http://www.pdga.com/tour/event/22313
http://lisopen.com/event/2016/course-schedule.aspx
 
Funny how the Ledgstone has the BIGGEST payout in DG but, the point values for this prediction seems awful low :p ?

Alright guys you gotta work for the win on this one :thmbup:!
 
Funny how the Ledgstone has the BIGGEST payout in DG but, the point values for this prediction seems awful low

40 (or 41) points possible, like always, right? We said we'd be dropping lowest two scores, so I wanted to make sure each one was worth the same amount.
 
McBeth
Wysocki
Locastro
McMahon

C. Allen
V. Jenkins

Innova/Discmania

Highest rated round...McBeth

Northwood

5 aces, 1 "filmed"

Ryan Herzog...23rd
 
MPO - Pick 4 players, with your predicted winner listed first (2 points for correct winner)
Wysocki
McBeth
Doss
McCray

FPO - Pick 2 players, with your predicted winner listed first (1 point for correct winner)
Pierce
C. Allen

Bonus 1 - Predict the manufacturer with the most players finishing in the top 10 of MPO.
Trilogy (Lat 64/DD/Westside)

Bonus 2 - Who will shoot the highest rated round of the tournament?
Wysocki

Bonus 3 - ...What course will see the highest rated round?
Eureka Temp

Bonus 4 - How many aces will there be?
4 aces, none filmed

Bonus 5 - Which MPO sub-1000 player will have the best tournament (1 point)? What place will the best MPO sub-1000 player finish (1 point)
Dutch Napier, 14th place
 
MPO - Pick 4 players, with your predicted winner listed first (2 points for correct winner)
McBeth
Sexton
Doss
B. Williams

FPO - Pick 2 players, with your predicted winner listed first (1 point for correct winner)
Val
Paige

Bonus 1 - Predict the manufacturer with the most players finishing in the top 10 of MPO.
Innova

Bonus 2 - Who will shoot the highest rated round of the tournament?
Nikko

Bonus 3 - ...What course will see the highest rated round?
Eureka

Bonus 4 - How many aces will there be?
1 - McBeast MF Teebird3

Bonus 5 - Which MPO sub-1000 player will have the best tournament (1 point)? What place will the best MPO sub-1000 player finish (1 point)
Paul Oman - 28th
 
McBeth
Wysocki
Locastro
Doss

C. Allen
V. Jenkins

Innova/Discmania

Highest rated round...McBeth

Northwood

5 aces, 1 "filmed"

Ryan Herzog...23rd



Per Dino Thunder Eagle not playing, so drop McMahon, replace with Doss
 
100% option

MPO - Pick 4 players, with your predicted winner listed first (2 points for correct winner)
1st place - Wysocki
McBeth
Locastro
Sexton

FPO - Pick 2 players, with your predicted winner listed first (1 point for correct winner)
1st place - Catrina Allen
Paige Pierce

Bonus 1 - Predict the manufacturer with the most players finishing in the top 10 of MPO.

"Other" manufacturers

Bonus 2 - Who will shoot the highest rated round of the tournament?

McBeth

Bonus 3 - ...What course will see the highest rated round? (2 points)

Northwood

Bonus 4 - How many aces will there be? (1 point) How many will be captured on film? (1 point)

4 aces, 0 filmed

Bonus 5 - Which MPO sub-1000 player will have the best tournament (1 point)? What place will the best MPO sub-1000 player finish (1 point)

Logan Bowers - 14th
 
MPO - Pick 4 players, with your predicted winner listed first (2 points for correct winner)
Nikko Locastro (winner)
Paul McBeth
Ricky Wysocki
Devan Owens

FPO - Pick 2 players, with your predicted winner listed first (1 point for correct winner)
Paige Pierce (winner)
Catrina Allen

Bonus 1 - Latitude 64
Bonus 2 - Nikko Locastro
Bonus 3 - Northwoods
Bonus 4 - 3 aces, 2 on film
Bonus 5 - Logan Bowers, 7th place
 
Can one of you smart guys remind me of how technical Keystone is? Are the more big open holes are more technical ones?
 
1) 100% of the potential points.

MPO - Pick 4 players, with your predicted winner listed first
1 - Ricky Wysocki
2 - Paul McBeth
3 - Nate Doss
4 - Nate Sexton

FPO - Pick 2 players, with your predicted winner listed first
1 - Paige Pierce
2 - Catrina Allen

Bonus 1 - Lat64/DD/Westside

Bonus 2 - Ricky Wysocki

Bonus 3 - Northwood Longs

Bonus 4 - 4 aces, 0 on film

Bonus 5 - Izak McDonald, 21st place
 
100% Option

MPO
Ricky Wysocki
Paul McBeth
Nate Sexton
Nate Doss

FPO
Catrina Allen
Paige Pierce

Bonus 1
Other

Bonus 2
McBeth

Bonus 3
Eureka Temp Course

Bonus 4
2 aces, 0 filmed

Bonus 5
Tony Ganger, 22nd place
 
100% option

MPO - Pick 4 players, with your predicted winner listed first (2 points for correct winner)
1st place - Wysocki
McBeth
Locastro
Sexton

FPO - Pick 2 players, with your predicted winner listed first (1 point for correct winner)
1st place Paige Pierce
Cat Allen




Bonus 1 - Predict the manufacturer with the most players finishing in the top 10 of MPO.

Lattitude 64

Bonus 2 - Who will shoot the highest rated round of the tournament?

McBeth

Bonus 3 - ...What course will see the highest rated round? (2 points)

Northwood

Bonus 4 - How many aces will there be? (1 point) How many will be captured on film? (1 point)

5 aces,2 filmed

Bonus 5 - Which MPO sub-1000 player will have the best tournament (1 point)? What place will the best MPO sub-1000 player finish (1 point)

Oman - 20th
 
100%

MPO - Pick 4 players, with your predicted winner listed first (2 points for correct winner)
Wysocki
McBeth
Johansen
Todd

FPO - Pick 2 players, with your predicted winner listed first (1 point for correct winner)
C Allen
Pierce

Bonus 1 - Other
Bonus 2 - Wysocki
Bonus 3 - Eureka
Bonus 4 - 4, 1
Bonus 5 - Ganger, 17
 
100%

MPO
Sexton
McBeth
Johansen
Wysocki

FPO
C. Allen
Pierce

Bonus 1 Innova/Discmania
Bonus 2 Locastro (Other)
Bonus 3 Eureka
Bonus 4 3, 1
Bonus 5 Matt Bell 13th
 
100%

Wysocki
Mcbeth
Sexton
Johansen

Catrina Allen
Paige Pierce

Bonuses

1-innova
2-Wysocki
3-Eureka
4- 3 aces, 1 filmed
5-Kyle Webster, 24
 
100%

MPO:

Wysocki
Locastro
McBeth
Doss

FPO:

P Pierce
V Jenkins

Bonus 1: Lat 64/DD/Westside
Bonus 2: Nikko
Bonus 3: Northwood
Bonus 4: 6 aces, 2 on film
Bonus 5: Matt Bell (998 rated), 18th place
 
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