azplaya25
Double Eagle Member
- Joined
- Aug 8, 2019
- Messages
- 1,243
https://youtu.be/0SGvL_gL7go
I thought this was a very interesting video by Feldberg, and wanted to see what others thought about the math behind his decision making at the end.
Cliff notes for those too lazy to watch the vid:
You are trying to decide between two lines to take on a hole.
Line 1 is your bread and butter shot, and you estimate there is a 90% chance that you birdie. However, the only OB on the hole comes into play if you miss this line, giving you a 10% chance at a bogey.
Line 2 is a shot that you aren't as comfortable with, but there is no danger whatsoever that you bogey. You estimate that 50% of the time you birdie, and 50% of the time you par.
My guess is that most golfers(myself included)choose line 1.
Dave is saying that line 2 is the correct choice.
Thoughts?
I thought this was a very interesting video by Feldberg, and wanted to see what others thought about the math behind his decision making at the end.
Cliff notes for those too lazy to watch the vid:
You are trying to decide between two lines to take on a hole.
Line 1 is your bread and butter shot, and you estimate there is a 90% chance that you birdie. However, the only OB on the hole comes into play if you miss this line, giving you a 10% chance at a bogey.
Line 2 is a shot that you aren't as comfortable with, but there is no danger whatsoever that you bogey. You estimate that 50% of the time you birdie, and 50% of the time you par.
My guess is that most golfers(myself included)choose line 1.
Dave is saying that line 2 is the correct choice.
Thoughts?