I know it's easy to say this in hindsight with Eagle struggling, but I'm still not sold on his woods game. (YES, he won Idlewild, I know.) His putting and forehand/backhand power off the tee are elite and obviously not up for debate, but I see him sometimes struggle with simple upshots and hitting tight gaps.
Please don't get it twisted, I don't think he's bad at touch shots by any means, he's had the success he's had for a reason, but I think on a course like The Fort, his strengths are minimized and weaknesses are magnified. Even at Mulligans, elite distance is not a prerequisite to succeed unlike the other ball golf courses at the Portland Open and OTB open.
I hope he proves me wrong and surges in the final three rounds, but ultimately I don't think this tournament is his.